AES Valuation

AES Stock  USD 15.75  0.34  2.11%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. AES shows a prevailing Real Value of $16.21 per share. The current price of the firm is $15.75. Our model approximates the value of AES from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.0511, operating margin of 0.20 %, and Profit Margin of 0.09 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting AES's valuation include:
Price Book
2.9646
Enterprise Value
39.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
12.3287
Price Sales
0.9474
Forward PE
6.9638
Fairly Valued
Today
15.75
Please note that AES's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of AES is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing AES's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the AES stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of The AES. Since AES is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of AES Stock. However, AES's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  15.75 Real  16.21 Target  15.29 Hype  15.58 Naive  16.16
The intrinsic value of AES's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence AES's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
16.21
Real Value
18.23
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of The AES helps investors to forecast how AES stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of AES more accurately as focusing exclusively on AES's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.500.580.69
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.5615.5817.60
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.530.570.62
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
13.9215.2916.97
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use AES's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of AES's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against AES's closest peers.

AES Cash

1.35 Billion

AES Revenue by Product

AES Total Value Analysis

The AES is presently forecasted to have company total value of 39.58 B with market capitalization of 11.46 B, debt of 29.02 B, and cash on hands of 1.52 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the AES fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
39.58 B
11.46 B
29.02 B
1.52 B

AES Investor Information

About 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of AES was presently reported as 5.43. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.09. AES last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of June 2000. Based on the key indicators related to AES's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, The AES is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.260.19
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities2.1 B3.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income2.2 B2.3 B
Notably Down
Pretty Stable

AES Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. AES has an asset utilization ratio of 25.9 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.26 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that The AES is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

AES Profitability Analysis

Based on AES's profitability indicators, The AES is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess AES's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1990-03-31
Previous Quarter
-105 M
Current Value
634 M
Quarterly Volatility
370.4 M
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit is likely to gain to about 2.8 B in 2026. Pretax Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.11 in 2026
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.30.22
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.260.19
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
For AES profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of AES to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well AES utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between AES's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of AES over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

AES Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of AES is estimated to be 0.581525 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.5009 to a high of 0.6875. AES's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.52. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for The AES is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
AES is projected to generate 0.581525 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. AES earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected AES EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on AES's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as AES, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

AES Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of AES's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of AES is estimated to be 0.581525 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.5009 to a high of 0.6875. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for The AES is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.50
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.581525
0.69
Highest

AES Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of AES's value are higher than the current market price of the AES stock. In this case, investors may conclude that AES is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and AES's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1484.13%
0.0
0.581525
1.52

AES Ownership Allocation

AES holds a total of 712.12 Million outstanding shares. The majority of The AES outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in AES to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in AES. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of The AES as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on February 1, 2024, Senator Thomas R Carper of US Senate acquired under $15k worth of AES's common stock.

AES Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 12.28 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.69 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.09 B.

AES Past Distributions to stockholders

About AES Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines AES's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of AES based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of AES. We calculate exposure to AES's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of AES's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit2.7 B2.8 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.08  0.11 
Operating Profit Margin 0.19  0.26 
Net Profit Margin 0.16  0.17 
Gross Profit Margin 0.22  0.30 
AES's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether AES's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of AES can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of AES represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of AES, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

AES Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, AES's Dividends Paid is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Dividend Yield is likely to gain to 0.05 in 2026, whereas Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is likely to drop 0.38 in 2026. . At this time, AES's Retained Earnings are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Earnings Yield is likely to gain to 0.18 in 2026, despite the fact that Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to grow to (1.4 B).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid434.7 M568 M
Dividend Yield 0.05  0.05 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.26  0.27 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.40  0.38 
There are various types of dividends AES can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of AES shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from The AES directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When AES pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of AES by the value of the dividends paid out.

AES Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as AES does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding713 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.253
Forward Price Earnings6.9638

AES Current Valuation Indicators

AES's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final AES's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as AES, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use AES's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes AES's worth.

Additional Tools for AES Stock Analysis

When running AES's price analysis, check to measure AES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AES is operating at the current time. Most of AES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.